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Michael Mauboussin, Interview No. 4

So any mental model has to overcome our natural tendency to think causally-that is, that good outcomes are the result of good skill and bad outcomes reflect bad skill. Despite all this, for us game-oriented people, few things in life are more absorbing or exciting than poker. And I found that if you hired young people, and paid them $12 an hour to pull on a slot machine, they had a hard job parting with $23,000 when the machine hit the jackpot. Unfortunately they didn’t pull it nearly as fast as I would have liked. At other times, I have been so depressed I have been in physical pain. High-sugar energy bars. Grocery store brands have limited shelf life, but several prepper-targeted, Mylar-packed varieties can last 5-10 years. He was a silent man who got Parkinson’s very young, so he was bedridden for the last 20 years of his life.

In Vegas they had banks of mechanical slot machines hooked up together, and when they got close to their pay-out it became worth investing. And casino bonusları they got tired. At the age of 40, in 1990, casino bonusları I discovered why I seemed to think so differently from other people when I was diagnosed with bipolar disorder. I was used to working with people of the highest integrity, like Peter and casino bonusları the Czechoslovakians – I travelled with them as a team and trusted them completely. Because no individual knows ahead of time how the game will play out, it becomes a matter of educated guessing regarding which team will end up victorious and by how many points. He plans to play his starters Thursday night against a Jacksonville Jaguars team that likely needs to win its final three games to make the postseason. The first three years I played poker I lost and I lost and I kept losing. In fact, too many poker players blame everyone else for their errors – the woman at the table, the tourist, the dealer.

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